SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | South Shields |
43.3% ( 0.23) | 25.28% ( -0.09) | 31.42% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.95% ( 0.37) | 48.06% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( 0.33) | 70.22% ( -0.33) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.26) | 22.15% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( 0.39) | 55.54% ( -0.39) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.09) | 28.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 0.11) | 64.59% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | South Shields |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.42% |
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