SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a South Shields win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | South Shields |
59.88% ( -0.14) | 23.13% ( 0.03) | 16.99% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( 0.05) | 52.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( 0.05) | 74.15% ( -0.05) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( -0.03) | 17.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.54% ( -0.05) | 47.45% ( 0.05) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.69% ( 0.18) | 44.31% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.62% ( 0.14) | 80.38% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | South Shields |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.87% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.99% |
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