SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Leamington FC |
56.44% ( 0.02) | 24.59% ( 0.01) | 18.98% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% ( -0.05) | 55.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.04) | 76.43% ( 0.05) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.01) | 19.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% ( -0.02) | 51.34% ( 0.03) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.49% ( -0.06) | 43.51% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( -0.05) | 79.72% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.98% |
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