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National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
3 - 0
Leamington

Fryatt (35'), Crawford (61'), Bazeley (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 0-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-1 Leamington
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawLeamington FC
39.59% (-1.321 -1.32) 26.83% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 33.59% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 51.17% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.54 0.54)53.91% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.452 0.45)75.36% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.467 -0.47)26.65% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (-0.621 -0.62)61.89% (0.623 0.62)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (1.195 1.2)30.24% (-1.193 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (1.405 1.41)66.41% (-1.403 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 39.58%
    Leamington FC 33.59%
    Draw 26.82%
Peterborough SportsDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.344 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chester 0-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-3 P'boro Sports
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-2 Gloucester City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-0 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-1 Leamington
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-0 Chester
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Leamington
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 4-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 2-2 Leamington
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 4-1 Leamington
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North


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