SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
36.85% ( -0.04) | 27.15% ( -0.05) | 36% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.03% ( 0.22) | 54.97% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.75% ( 0.18) | 76.24% ( -0.18) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.08) | 28.73% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 0.1) | 64.56% ( -0.1) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( 0.17) | 29.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 0.2) | 65.19% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36% |
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