SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
46.31% ( 0.23) | 24.94% ( -0.02) | 28.74% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.04) | 47.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( -0.04) | 70.07% ( 0.04) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( 0.09) | 20.72% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% ( 0.13) | 53.34% ( -0.13) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( -0.17) | 30.53% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( -0.21) | 66.75% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.74% |
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