SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
49.23% ( -0.05) | 25.06% ( 0.08) | 25.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.32) | 50.37% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( -0.29) | 72.31% ( 0.29) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.15) | 20.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.04% ( -0.24) | 52.96% ( 0.24) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( -0.19) | 34.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( -0.21) | 70.88% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.72% |
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