Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
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