Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.