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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Chorley |
22.05% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( 0) | 52.96% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.64% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.71% ( -0.01) | 53.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.16% ( -0.01) | 74.84% ( 0.01) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.87% ( 0.01) | 39.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.16% ( 0.01) | 75.84% ( -0.01) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.01) | 20.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.64% ( -0.02) | 52.36% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.44% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 12.61% 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.69% Total : 52.95% |
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