Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Warrington Town in this match.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
