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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Warrington Town |
54.54% ( 0.39) | 23.63% ( -0.14) | 21.82% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% ( 0.3) | 48.12% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% ( 0.27) | 70.28% ( -0.27) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.25) | 17.53% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( 0.44) | 48.05% ( -0.44) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( -0.08) | 36.44% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( -0.08) | 73.22% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 21.82% |
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