Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Billericay Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Billericay Town win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
