Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Billericay Town had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Billericay Town win was 1-0 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.