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National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
0 - 2
Truro City

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Neal (58'), Palmer (63')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawTruro City
40.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 25.42% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 34.1% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (0.091999999999999 0.09)47.88% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (0.085000000000001 0.09)70.06% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (0.027999999999992 0.03)23.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.45% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.073000000000008 0.07)26.97% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.094999999999999 0.09)62.31% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 40.49%
    Truro City 34.1%
    Draw 25.41%
Dover AthleticDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-1 Aveley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-3 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Weston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 2-3 Truro City
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 3-1 St Albans City
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South


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