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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Bath City |
41.35% ( 0.22) | 26.71% ( -0.05) | 31.94% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( 0.15) | 53.83% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( 0.13) | 75.29% ( -0.13) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( 0.19) | 25.67% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( 0.25) | 60.57% ( -0.25) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.04) | 31.3% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( -0.04) | 67.65% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.94% |
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