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National League South | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 1
Welling United

Nembhard (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carr (55' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Welling United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWelling United
40.03%24.65%35.32%
Both teams to score 58.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.8%44.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42%66.58%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6%55.4%
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01%58.99%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 40.03%
    Welling United 35.32%
    Draw 24.65%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 8.69%
1-0 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.32%

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