Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Billericay Town had a probability of 37.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Billericay Town win was 1-2 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.