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National League South | Gameweek 4
Nov 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Meadowbank

Dorking
3 - 2
Oxford City

Prior (53', 58'), McShane (73')
McManus (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ballard (15'), Roberts (76')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Oxford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawOxford City
47.19%24.26%28.55%
Both teams to score 57.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98%45.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63%67.37%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8%19.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12%50.88%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86%65.14%
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 47.19%
    Oxford City 28.55%
    Draw 24.26%
Dorking WanderersDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 7.63%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-1 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 28.55%


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