Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.