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National League South | Gameweek 5
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
Cressing Road

Braintree
3 - 4
Hemel Hempstead

Smyth (22'), Dunne (37'), Clements (78')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Olomowewe (20'), Bateman (42' pen.), Forrest (44' og.), Evans (45+1')
Paulin (68')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
29.75%26.61%43.63%
Both teams to score 50.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79%54.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39%75.61%
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95%33.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36%69.64%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81%59.19%
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 29.75%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 43.63%
    Draw 26.61%
Braintree TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 11.41%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 4.13%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.63%


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