Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.