Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chippenham Town in this match.