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National League South | Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
1 - 3
Chelmsford City

FT(HT: 1-1)
James (42'), Blackwell (53'), Gregory (86')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Chelmsford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Concord RangersDrawChelmsford City
31.07%25.67%43.26%
Both teams to score 54.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14%49.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14%71.86%
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11%29.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01%65.99%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 31.07%
    Chelmsford City 43.26%
    Draw 25.66%
Concord RangersDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 8.28%
2-1 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 31.07%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.26%

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