Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.