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National League South | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
3 - 1
Taunton Town

Richards (36'), McClure (52'), Fasanmade (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stearn (13')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawTaunton Town
47.3% (-0.253 -0.25) 25.18% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 27.52% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 53.44% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.63% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.045000000000002 0.05)71.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)21% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.137 -0.14)53.78% (0.136 0.14)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (0.206 0.21)32.35% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (0.231 0.23)68.86% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 47.3%
    Taunton Town 27.52%
    Draw 25.17%
Chippenham TownDrawTaunton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-2 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Worthing
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-3 Hampton
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Eastbourne
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Oxford City
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South


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