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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Concord Rangers |
51.3% ( -1.3) | 24.67% ( 0.34) | 24.03% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( -0.5) | 50.18% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( -0.45) | 72.14% ( 0.45) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.71) | 19.55% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( -1.17) | 51.47% ( 1.17) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( 0.59) | 35.54% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( 0.6) | 72.3% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.3% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.03% |
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