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National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park
DA

Chippenham
3 - 1
Dover Athletic

Parker (21'), Fasanmade (73'), Windsor (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Judd (47')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawDover Athletic
37.76% (-0.052 -0.05) 27.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 35.05% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)55.17% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)76.41% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)28.29% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)64.01% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)29.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)66.03% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 37.76%
    Dover Athletic 35.05%
    Draw 27.18%
Chippenham TownDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-2 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Worthing
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 4-4 Cheshunt
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South


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