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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Dover Athletic |
37.76% ( -0.05) | 27.19% ( 0.02) | 35.05% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% ( -0.08) | 55.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% ( -0.07) | 76.41% ( 0.07) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.07) | 28.29% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( -0.09) | 64.01% ( 0.09) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( -0.02) | 29.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( -0.03) | 66.03% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.05% |
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