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National League South | Gameweek 3
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Marsh Lane

Oxford City
4 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Bradbury (10'), Roberts (18', 28'), Benyon (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Tonbridge Angels.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
35.91%23.4%40.69%
Both teams to score 63.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.98%38.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.71%60.29%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63%21.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65%54.35%
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89%19.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27%50.73%
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 35.91%
    Tonbridge Angels 40.69%
    Draw 23.39%
Oxford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 8.05%
1-0 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 6.66%
0-0 @ 4.08%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 4.76%
2-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 3.09%
1-4 @ 1.97%
2-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 40.69%


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