Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.