Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.