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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Imperial Fields

Dulwich Hamlet
2 - 0
Taunton Town

Porter (10'), Ming (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dulwich Hamlet and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-1 Taunton Town
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dulwich Hamlet win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dulwich Hamlet would win this match.

Result
Dulwich HamletDrawTaunton Town
44.1% (-1.116 -1.12) 25.02% (0.386 0.39) 30.88% (0.735 0.74)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-0.908 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (-1.364 -1.36)47.17% (1.367 1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-1.281 -1.28)69.4% (1.284 1.28)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (-1.061 -1.06)21.41% (1.065 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6% (-1.664 -1.66)54.41% (1.668 1.67)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.188 -0.19)28.67% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.236 -0.24)64.49% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Dulwich Hamlet 44.1%
    Taunton Town 30.88%
    Draw 25.02%
Dulwich HamletDrawTaunton Town
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.235 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.1%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.345 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.391 0.39)
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 Cheshunt
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-1 Taunton Town
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Slough
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 3-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South


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