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National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet

Hughes (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ming (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 Cheshunt
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 57.64%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 21.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDulwich Hamlet
57.64% (0.216 0.22) 21.15% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 21.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.89% (0.145 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.19% (0.275 0.27)37.81% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.94% (0.293 0.29)60.06% (-0.297 -0.3)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (0.15300000000001 0.15)12.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.56% (0.314 0.31)39.43% (-0.316 -0.32)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (0.042999999999992 0.04)31.19% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (0.051000000000002 0.05)67.53% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 57.64%
    Dulwich Hamlet 21.21%
    Draw 21.15%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDulwich Hamlet
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 57.64%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-3 Oxford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 Cheshunt
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South


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