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National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
4 - 2
Dulwich Hamlet

Poleon (3', 9', 38', 79')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Felix (6'), Porter (62')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 79.38%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 8.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Dulwich Hamlet win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawDulwich Hamlet
79.38% (-0.78699999999999 -0.79) 12.32% (0.013 0.01) 8.31% (0.7731 0.77)
Both teams to score 58.48% (4.501 4.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.53% (3.2 3.2)23.47% (-3.203 -3.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.11% (4.179 4.18)42.89% (-4.18 -4.18)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.37% (0.491 0.49)4.63% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.15% (1.487 1.49)18.84% (-1.49 -1.49)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (4.427 4.43)38.68% (-4.43 -4.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (3.96 3.96)75.42% (-3.962 -3.96)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 79.38%
    Dulwich Hamlet 8.31%
    Draw 12.32%
EbbsfleetDrawDulwich Hamlet
3-0 @ 8.66% (-0.999 -1)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-1.297 -1.3)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 6.65% (-0.522 -0.52)
4-1 @ 6.32% (0.281 0.28)
1-0 @ 5.5% (-1.06 -1.06)
5-0 @ 4.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.487 0.49)
5-1 @ 3.89% (0.296 0.3)
4-2 @ 3% (0.461 0.46)
6-0 @ 2.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.99% (0.212 0.21)
5-2 @ 1.85% (0.335 0.34)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.237 0.24)
6-2 @ 0.95% (0.197 0.2)
7-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 79.38%
1-1 @ 5.22% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.361 0.36)
0-0 @ 1.79% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.278 0.28)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 12.32%
1-2 @ 2.48% (0.159 0.16)
0-1 @ 1.7% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.239 0.24)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 8.31%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 7-2 Worthing
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 6-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South


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