Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.