Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
