Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
