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National League South | Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
3 - 1
Bath City

Scott-Morriss (38'), Hughes (64'), Addai (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cooke (42')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Bath City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBath City
31.75%23.35%44.9%
Both teams to score 62.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95%39.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63%61.37%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.44%
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24%17.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55%48.45%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 31.75%
    Bath City 44.9%
    Draw 23.35%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBath City
2-1 @ 7.49%
1-0 @ 6.09%
2-0 @ 4.33%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.75%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 44.9%

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