Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
