Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Welling United win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
