Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.