SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Worthing | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Hungerford Town | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Farnborough Town | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Havant & Waterlooville in this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Farnborough Town |
58.41% ( -0.55) | 21.84% ( 0.45) | 19.75% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( -1.89) | 43.06% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( -1.89) | 65.46% ( 1.89) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( -0.79) | 14.44% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.61% ( -1.55) | 42.39% ( 1.55) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( -0.98) | 35.63% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% ( -1.03) | 72.4% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.87% Total : 58.41% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 19.75% |
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