Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
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