SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Chelmsford City |
45.83% ( -0.02) | 24.25% ( 0) | 29.91% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( -0.03) | 44.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.02) | 66.54% ( 0.02) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( -0.02) | 19.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.75% ( -0.03) | 51.24% ( 0.03) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0) | 27.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( -0) | 63.4% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.92% |
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