Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
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