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National League South | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 0
Taunton Town

Pavey (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-3 Taunton Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dover Athletic in this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawTaunton Town
39.69% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07) 26.71% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 33.59% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)53.47% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (-0.026 -0.03)74.99% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)26.39% (0.055000000000003 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)61.54% (0.073 0.07)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.024000000000001 0.02)30.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.028999999999996 0.03)66.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 39.69%
    Taunton Town 33.59%
    Draw 26.71%
Dover AthleticDrawTaunton Town
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 33.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hungerford 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-3 Taunton Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Braintree
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South


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