Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.