Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.
