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National League South | Gameweek 15
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
2 - 3
Dartford

Cerulli (20', 90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hyde (8', 77'), Azeez (55' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Dartford.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDartford
16.32%19.59%64.09%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54%38.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25%60.75%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29%36.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51%73.49%
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64%11.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94%36.06%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 16.32%
    Dartford 64.09%
    Draw 19.59%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDartford
2-1 @ 4.56%
1-0 @ 4.18%
2-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.32%
1-1 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-2 @ 9.86%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-3 @ 7.15%
1-4 @ 3.9%
0-4 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.59%
2-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.7%
0-5 @ 1.69%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 64.09%

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