Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.