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National League South | Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
CR

Hemel Hempstead
3 - 1
Concord Rangers

Fasanmade (3', 42'), Cerulli (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Green (85' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Concord Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawConcord Rangers
49.32%23.56%27.13%
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2%42.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79%65.21%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51%17.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01%47.99%
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92%29.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35%65%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 49.32%
    Concord Rangers 27.13%
    Draw 23.55%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawConcord Rangers
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 5.55%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.13%

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