Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.