Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.