Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 60.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.