Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Billericay Town had a probability of 13.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Billericay Town win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.