Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.